Pre-tourney Rankings
Western Kentucky
Conference USA
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.0#181
Expected Predictive Rating-1.2#181
Pace68.0#229
Improvement+1.0#137

Offense
Total Offense+2.5#107
First Shot+0.8#152
After Offensive Rebound+1.7#62
Layup/Dunks-0.1#172
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#109
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#186
Freethrows+0.3#157
Improvement+1.2#129

Defense
Total Defense-3.5#267
First Shot-4.8#317
After Offensive Rebounds+1.3#55
Layups/Dunks-0.2#187
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#324
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.6#321
Freethrows+2.0#55
Improvement-0.2#199
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 18, 2015 138   @ Belmont L 85-90 29%     0 - 1 -0.2 +1.3 -1.0
  Nov 21, 2015 100   Stony Brook W 67-66 37%     1 - 1 +3.5 -1.1 +4.6
  Nov 23, 2015 254   Drake L 79-81 OT 67%     1 - 2 -7.5 +1.5 -9.1
  Nov 24, 2015 157   Central Michigan W 88-60 44%     2 - 2 +28.5 +9.0 +18.5
  Nov 25, 2015 151   Duquesne L 73-81 43%     2 - 3 -7.2 -4.5 -2.3
  Dec 01, 2015 201   Eastern Kentucky W 86-84 67%     3 - 3 -3.5 +9.9 -13.3
  Dec 05, 2015 15   @ Xavier L 64-95 4%     3 - 4 -12.3 -4.0 -6.7
  Dec 13, 2015 165   Indiana St. W 75-62 59%     4 - 4 +9.7 +5.6 +4.2
  Dec 16, 2015 315   Alabama A&M W 79-70 87%     5 - 4 -4.3 +4.6 -8.1
  Dec 19, 2015 11   @ Louisville L 56-78 4%     5 - 5 -2.1 -3.7 +1.3
  Dec 22, 2015 179   Detroit Mercy W 79-74 61%     6 - 5 +1.2 -4.8 +5.7
  Jan 03, 2016 150   @ Marshall L 76-94 32%     6 - 6 0 - 1 -14.2 -8.9 -3.0
  Jan 07, 2016 236   Florida International L 72-75 73%     6 - 7 0 - 2 -10.5 +2.8 -13.6
  Jan 09, 2016 301   Florida Atlantic W 86-82 OT 85%     7 - 7 1 - 2 -8.1 +4.6 -12.9
  Jan 14, 2016 277   @ Rice L 73-83 64%     7 - 8 1 - 3 -14.6 -8.9 -5.3
  Jan 16, 2016 290   @ North Texas W 81-76 67%     8 - 8 2 - 3 -0.6 +2.0 -2.7
  Jan 21, 2016 118   @ Old Dominion L 62-68 25%     8 - 9 2 - 4 +0.0 +0.8 -1.5
  Jan 23, 2016 195   @ Charlotte L 71-88 43%     8 - 10 2 - 5 -16.2 -1.6 -14.9
  Jan 28, 2016 117   UAB W 69-62 45%     9 - 10 3 - 5 +7.3 -3.7 +11.1
  Jan 30, 2016 130   Middle Tennessee L 64-66 48%     9 - 11 3 - 6 -2.6 -6.6 +4.0
  Feb 04, 2016 339   @ Texas San Antonio W 83-71 82%     10 - 11 4 - 6 +1.1 -3.3 +3.5
  Feb 06, 2016 222   @ UTEP L 89-93 OT 49%     10 - 12 4 - 7 -4.6 -1.2 -2.7
  Feb 13, 2016 150   Marshall L 93-96 OT 54%     10 - 13 4 - 8 -5.1 -4.5 +0.1
  Feb 18, 2016 118   Old Dominion L 56-59 45%     10 - 14 4 - 9 -2.8 -9.4 +6.3
  Feb 20, 2016 195   Charlotte W 59-54 65%     11 - 14 5 - 9 +0.0 -15.3 +15.6
  Feb 25, 2016 130   @ Middle Tennessee W 78-72 27%     12 - 14 6 - 9 +11.3 +16.7 -4.9
  Feb 27, 2016 117   @ UAB L 67-71 25%     12 - 15 6 - 10 +2.1 -2.4 +4.4
  Mar 03, 2016 302   Southern Miss W 75-60 85%     13 - 15 7 - 10 +2.8 +12.9 -6.8
  Mar 05, 2016 161   Louisiana Tech W 96-90 OT 57%     14 - 15 8 - 10 +3.2 +7.3 -5.1
  Mar 09, 2016 290   North Texas W 84-76 76%     15 - 15 -0.5 +10.3 -10.4
  Mar 10, 2016 117   UAB W 88-77 34%     16 - 15 +14.2 +11.2 +2.4
  Mar 11, 2016 118   Old Dominion L 77-89 34%     16 - 16 -8.9 +16.0 -26.3
Projected Record 16.0 - 16.0 8.0 - 10.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 100.0% 100.0
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%